The World Semiconductor Trade Statistics (WSTS) has released its latest forecast for the global semiconductor market, anticipating robust growth in 2024 and 2025.
2024 forecast: Strong recovery expected
WSTS has adjusted its Spring 2024 forecast upwards, projecting a 16% growth in the global semiconductor market, compared to the previous year. The updated market valuation for 2024 is estimated at US$611 billion. This revision reflects stronger performance in the last two quarters, particularly in computing end-markets.
For 2024, mainly two IC categories are anticipated to drive the growth for the year with double digit increase, logic with 10.7%, and memory with 76.8%. Conversely, other categories such as discrete, optoelectronics, sensors, and analog semiconductors are expected to experience single-digit declines.
The Americas and Asia Pacific regions are projected to see significant growth, with increases of 25.1% and 17.5%, respectively. In contrast, Europe is expected to show marginal growth of 0.5%, while Japan is forecasted to see a slight decline of 1.1%.
2025 outlook: Continued solid growth
Looking ahead to 2025, WSTS forecasts a 12.5% growth in the global semiconductor market, reaching an estimated valuation of US$687 billion. This growth is expected to be driven primarily by the memory and logic sectors.
Both are on track to soar to over US$200 billion in 2025 each, representing an upward trend of over 25% for memory, and over 10 percent for logic from the previous year. All other segments are anticipated to record single-digit growth rates.
In 2025, all regions are poised for continued expansion. The Americas and Asia Pacific are expected to maintain their double-digit growth on a year-over-year basis.